Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Knowing the AdversaryLeaders, Intelligence, and Assessment of Intentions in International Relations$
Users without a subscription are not able to see the full content.

Keren Yarhi-Milo

Print publication date: 2014

Print ISBN-13: 9780691159157

Published to Princeton Scholarship Online: October 2017

DOI: 10.23943/princeton/9780691159157.001.0001

Show Summary Details
Page of

PRINTED FROM PRINCETON SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.princeton.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Princeton University Press, 2021. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in PRSO for personal use.date: 30 July 2021

Theories of Intentions and the Problem of Attention

Theories of Intentions and the Problem of Attention

Chapter:
(p.14) Chapter 1 Theories of Intentions and the Problem of Attention
Source:
Knowing the Adversary
Author(s):

Keren Yarhi-Milo

Publisher:
Princeton University Press
DOI:10.23943/princeton/9780691159157.003.0002

This chapter outlines the theoretical foundations of the selective attention thesis and three competing ones: the capabilities, strategic military doctrine, and behavior theses. It divides perceived political intentions into five ideal-type categories based on the degree to which the enemy is believed to have the determination required to revise the status quo and the extent of its revisionist intentions: unlimited expansionist, limited expansionist, unlimited opportunistic, limited opportunistic, and status quo powers. The chapter proceeds by offering a set of hypotheses as to how civilian decision makers and intelligence organizations conduct intentions assessment. In particular, it considers the vividness hypothesis, the subjective credibility hypothesis, the organizational expertise hypothesis, and the offense–defense theory. It also explains the methodology used in the three case studies.

Keywords:   selective attention, capabilities, strategic military doctrine, behavior, political intentions, decision makers, intelligence organizations, intentions assessment, vividness hypothesis, offense-defense theory

Princeton Scholarship Online requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books within the service. Public users can however freely search the site and view the abstracts and keywords for each book and chapter.

Please, subscribe or login to access full text content.

If you think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.

To troubleshoot, please check our FAQs , and if you can't find the answer there, please contact us.