The British Intelligence Community’s Assessments of Nazi Germany’s Intentions
The British Intelligence Community’s Assessments of Nazi Germany’s Intentions
This chapter examines the evolution in the stated beliefs of Britain’s intelligence organizations about the nature and scope of Nazi Germany’s foreign policy plans along with its perceptions of the Germans’ willingness to wield their military capabilities. It evaluates how well the predictions of the selective attention thesis and the competing theses fit the evolution in perceived intentions. It shows that the evolution of the British intelligence community’s collective intentions assessments is most consistent with the predictions of the capabilities thesis and organizational expertise hypothesis. The evidence is inconclusive as to the predictions of the past and current actions hypotheses of the behavior thesis.
Keywords: intelligence organizations, Britain, Nazi Germany, foreign policy, military capabilities, selective attention, perceived intentions, intentions assessment, capabilities, organizational expertise hypothesis
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