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Nuclear Strategy in the Modern EraRegional Powers and International Conflict$
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Vipin Narang

Print publication date: 2014

Print ISBN-13: 9780691159829

Published to Princeton Scholarship Online: October 2017

DOI: 10.23943/princeton/9780691159829.001.0001

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Deterring Unequally I: A Large-n Analysis

Deterring Unequally I: A Large-n Analysis

(p.222) Chapter Nine Deterring Unequally I: A Large-n Analysis
Nuclear Strategy in the Modern Era

Vipin Narang

Princeton University Press

This chapter tests the deterrent effect of regional power nuclear postures in a large-n statistical design to systematically analyze whether, on average, some nuclear postures deter conflict better than others. It takes nuclear posture as an independent variable, testing whether these postures have differential effects on states' ability to deter the outbreak of conventional conflict. Compared to when the state did not have nuclear weapons, and compared to other states, this chapter considers what effect we should expect these different postures to have on a state's ability to deter the eruption of conventional conflict (general deterrence) against both nuclear and non-nuclear opponents.

Keywords:   conflict deterrence, large-n analysis, nuclear postures, conventional conflicts, nuclear opponents, non-nuclear opponents, general deterrent effects

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