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Dilemmas of InclusionMuslims in European Politics$
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Rafaela M. Dancygier

Print publication date: 2017

Print ISBN-13: 9780691172590

Published to Princeton Scholarship Online: May 2018

DOI: 10.23943/princeton/9780691172590.001.0001

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Vote-Based Inclusion and the Transformation of Electoral Politics

Vote-Based Inclusion and the Transformation of Electoral Politics

Chapter:
(p.105) 5 Vote-Based Inclusion and the Transformation of Electoral Politics
Source:
Dilemmas of Inclusion
Author(s):

Rafaela M. Dancygier

Publisher:
Princeton University Press
DOI:10.23943/princeton/9780691172590.003.0005

This chapter studies candidate selection and election outcomes in English municipalities. It confirms that parties are primarily interested in pursuing votes and think about the ideological repercussion later. In England, ward-level elections allow one to get a sense of how the distribution of Muslim and non-Muslim preferences affects parties' calculations of the anticipated gains and losses that they associate with Muslim inclusion. Studying thousands of ward elections over time, the chapter demonstrates that these calculations significantly influence parties' inclusion decisions. Parties are less likely to put Muslim candidates on the ticket in wards where they anticipate a considerable non-Muslim backlash. However, once the size of the Muslim electorate reaches a critical threshold, inclusion chances rise substantially.

Keywords:   candidate selection, election outcomes, English municipalities, preferences, Muslim inclusion, Muslim candidates, Muslim electorate

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